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AI Won’t Replace Programmers — Stop Falling for the Same Stupid Predictions
For 60 years people claim machines and AI will replace us all, but it didn’t happen. Think twice before you’ll decide to ditch programming and tech. AI will skyrocket these careers, and people will literally hunt for experts
Herbert Simon was an american scholar that received Turing Award in 1975 and Nobel Prize in Economics. In 1965 he made a prediction that:
Machines will be capable, within twenty years, of doing any work a man can do
What can be considered the first notion that tech / AI will replace programmers. As an educated scholar we know that Herbert Simon was up to date with technology development. However, his prediction were wrong. In 1985 machines weren’t capable to do every work that a human does.
Specifically, his prediction was devastatingly wrong about programming. In 1965 there were already around 200 000 programmers. During the time machines were to replace human, the number of programmers rose around two to five times. Up until today machines aren’t capable to do all human.
Hi! My name is Tom Smykowski, and I’m tracking tech and AI for years. Working…
